Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.216431 3.596824 4.008808 4.488898 5.033913 5.634465 6.347781
2024-10-27 2.533660 3.011391 3.564936 4.256342 5.100451 6.102038 7.387261
2024-11-03 2.203951 2.742891 3.400221 4.266311 5.385346 6.793092 8.714913
2024-11-10 2.007914 2.595135 3.342308 4.371604 5.766535 7.610888 10.266777
2024-11-17 1.829088 2.440439 3.246656 4.400304 6.029326 8.278306 11.672161
2024-11-24 1.683627 2.310088 3.162737 4.424752 6.273607 8.927668 13.107547
2024-12-01 1.560547 2.195657 3.085019 4.442328 6.498740 9.558631 14.572371
2024-12-08 1.421834 2.044843 2.939269 4.341665 6.530644 9.893823 15.604419
2024-12-15 1.323332 1.943083 2.854116 4.319829 6.673990 10.404564 16.962354
2024-12-22 1.231698 1.843375 2.762355 4.276583 6.774325 10.848831 18.249338
2024-12-29 1.200208 1.832360 2.804004 4.445707 7.231044 11.916864 20.730963
2025-01-05 1.134457 1.762161 2.746297 4.446008 7.402005 12.512195 22.428737
2025-01-12 1.063307 1.679887 2.665635 4.405467 7.506497 13.015120 24.044742
2025-01-19 0.960612 1.539197 2.479369 4.169166 7.243866 12.832557 24.324131
2025-01-26 0.913072 1.486519 2.435661 4.177154 7.421509 13.475906 26.313041
2025-02-02 0.886122 1.466386 2.445148 4.279626 7.781722 14.498812 29.206692
2025-02-09 0.848857 1.425722 2.415660 4.307578 8.001338 15.267820 31.661734
2025-02-16 0.813896 1.386577 2.385726 4.331437 8.213682 16.041475 34.226273
2025-02-23 0.780598 1.348076 2.353985 4.348597 8.412935 16.806414 36.871138
2025-03-02 0.733491 1.281609 2.266550 4.250293 8.366730 17.046663 38.321801
2025-03-09 0.700495 1.238886 2.220170 4.228969 8.477572 17.634395 40.679568
2025-03-16 0.667126 1.193433 2.165626 4.186734 8.539504 18.118882 42.846915
2025-03-23 0.661646 1.200063 2.210863 4.351896 9.065778 19.708377 48.051888